Villegas alone in first at PGA National
Golf Betting Lines
03/06/2010 - Palm Beach Gardens, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Camilo Villegas posted a three-under 67 on Saturday to take sole possession of the lead after the third round of the Honda Classic.
Villegas finished 54 holes at 11-under 199 and is three strokes clear at PGA National.
Vijay Singh, 1999 champion, had a one-under 69 on Saturday and is tied for second place with Australian Nathan Green, who carded a three-under 67 in round three. The pair is knotted at eight-under 202.
George McNeill fired a four-under 66 and shares fourth with Matt Every, who managed a one-under 69 on Saturday. The duo finished at minus-six.
This has been a whirlwind week for the leader.
Villegas started the week in his native Colombia to host the Nationwide Tour event being staged there. He returned in time for Thursday's first round and grabbed a piece of the second-round lead after a Friday 66.
"It got me in a good mood. Even though it's been a long week, it was awesome," said Villegas of his early-week trip.
On Saturday, Villegas parred his first two holes, but kicked in a short birdie putt at the par-five third. He made it two in a row thanks to another short birdie putt at the fourth and three holes later, ran home a 30-footer for birdie.
Villegas was 11-under par and three shots ahead. He made a 21-footer for birdie at the ninth to move four clear, but struggled immediately after he made the turn.
Villegas couldn't get up and down from a bunker at the 10th, but got the stroke back after a 19-foot birdie putt at 11. He missed the green and an eight-foot par save at 12.
Green got to nine-under with a tap-in birdie at 15, then Villegas three-putted for bogey from almost 40 feet at the 14th. His lead was only a stroke, but Villegas played a tough hole brilliantly to extend his cushion.
At the 16th, Villegas hammered his drive down the fairway and hit a great approach to 10 feet. He sank the birdie putt to move two ahead, then when Green bogeyed the last, Villegas reclaimed his three-shot lead.
He parred the last two and took the 54-hole lead for the second time on tour. The other time Villegas was in front after three rounds was the 2008 BMW Championship. He went on to win that event and the Tour Championship for his only two victories on tour.
Most observers believe Villegas should have more trophies on the mantle, but he's philosophical about it.
"It's all about attitude," said Villegas, who was third at the WGC- Accenture Match Play Championship and the second-round co-leader last week in Phoenix. "Last year, even though I played 27 tournaments, I only missed three cuts and made the cut in every major. I felt I should have played a little better. I decided to look at the good side of it."
Anthony Kim shared the lead with Villegas after the second round, but bogeyed his last two holes in round three and shot a three-over 73. He is tied for sixth place with Michael Connell, who had a one-under 69 and joined Kim at five-under 205.
J.B. Holmes (66) and Graeme McDowell (71) are knotted in eighth place at minus-four.
NOTES: Sam Saunders, the grandson of Arnold Palmer, posted his third straight one-under 69 and is tied for 10th at three-under par...Nearby fires left PGA National a little cloudy, but play was never stopped.
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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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