Phillies continue western swing in San Francisco

Baseball Betting Lines

05/09/2008 - (Baseball Betting) - The struggling San Francisco Giants will open a 10-game homestand this evening, when they welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to AT&T Park for the first of three straight games.

San Francisco has lost four in a row and went 1-5 on a six-game road trip, including a 1-2 performance in South Philly from May 2-4. The Giants were just swept in three games against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park, suffering a 5-4 setback in the series finale on Thursday.

Steve Holm drove in a pair of runs while Dan Ortmeier added a pair of hits and a run scored for the Giants. Matt Cain started for San Francisco and was saddled with the loss after he gave up five runs on nine hits in 6 1/3 innings of work. Cain also went 2-for-3 with an RBI at the plate.

The Giants will send Patrick Misch to the mound on Friday, and he is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA in two games (1 start) this season. He last took the mound on May 2 at Philadelphia's Citizens Bank Park and did not record a decision, yielding four runs and five hits through four frames.

San Francisco will also host Houston and the Chicago White Sox on the current homestand.

Philadelphia will continue a seven-game road trip tonight and just split a four-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The Phillies were 8-3 losers on Thursday afternoon, as Arizona starter Brandon Webb went the distance to lead the way.

Phillies starter Brett Myers struggled in five innings of work, as he gave up seven runs -- six earned -- on nine hits. Shane Victorino went 2-for-4 and scored twice, while Eric Bruntlett had two hits and an RBI for the Phillies, who are one game behind Florida for the lead in the NL East.

Cole Hamels will handle pitching duties for the Phils on Friday, and he is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA in seven starts this season. Hamels is 1-0 in his last two outings and recorded a no decision on Sunday versus the Giants. He was reached for four runs in six frames of a 6-5 victory in that game.

The lanky left-hander is 2-0 with a 3.68 earned run average through three career starts against San Francisco.

Philadelphia is 16-7 against the Giants since the start of the 2005 season.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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