Confidence bubbling to surface for Red-hot Bulls

Soccer Betting Lines

08/26/2008 - East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It started out as a small bubble on July 19, when the New York Red Bulls battled to a 2-2 draw with the Los Angeles Galaxy to snap a two-game losing streak in Major League Soccer play.

A couple more bubbles the next week when the Red Bulls earned a tough road point on the other side of the country, starting a modest two-game unbeaten run.

The bubbles began to roll when, in back-to-back weeks, New York earned decisive victories over Eastern Conference rivals D.C. United and Toronto FC to get back into playoff contention.

Now the team's confidence is at a full boil after defeating the two-time defending champion Houston Dynamo, 3-0, at Giants Stadium on Sunday without three key players in the lineup.

"Our confidence is really high and coach [Juan Carlos Osorio] is really confident in us," New York winger Dane Richards said. "That helps a lot when the coach is confident in us so we're going out there, getting the job done like he told us to do, and we're just winning. So we'll [try] to keep it up."

"It's just coming together for the whole team," New York goalkeeper Jon Conway said. "Once we get going and get some good confidence, we're able to work real well and it's great."

After starting the season 5-6-5, the team's turnaround began with that game vs. L.A., when Jorge Rojas and Juan Pietravallo joined the team to shore up the midfield. Rojas, a 31-year-old Venezuelan international, is the midfield maestro the team thought it was getting when it signed Claudio Reyna before last season. Pietravallo is a 26-year-old tough-as-nails Argentine holding midfielder to team up with Seth Stammler in front of the back line.

"There are a few new additions, but for the most part it's the same crew," Conway said. "It's just a matter of confidence. Once we got going and got a couple big wins and started flying, it's [been] great. We know we can keep a zero on the board and with [striker] Juan [Pablo Angel] scoring, it helps a lot too when he's getting us a goal a game and giving us some leeway."

In the weeks that followed the additions of Rojas and Pietravallo, the team added 22-year-old Mexican defender Diego Jimenez and 24-year-old Venezuelan defender Gabriel Cichero. Cichero was slotted right into the starting lineup while Jimenez was signed to a developmental deal.

But with Cichero suspended two games for an elbow to the head of Toronto's Danny Dichio on Aug. 17 coupled with an injury to Jeff Parke, Jimenez was forced to start on Sunday vs. Houston. Also, Rojas missed the game because he was stuck in his native Venezuela with passport issues.

"Winning games builds confidence," Angel said. "[Sunday] was a big challenge for us because we were missing three key players [Rojas, Parke and Cichero] and the guys who stepped on the field did a terrific job. I'm talking about Diego Jimenez in his debut. I thought he was very good and the other lads that played instead of the three guys that were missing [were good too].

"But it's about getting the job done. There was a little bit of concern during the week because of the three players who weren't allowed to play or weren't fit to play and we showed we're back in contention again.

"I think it was the most solid performance we've had so far since I've been here. Basically, we got the job done in a very good manner. We were solid in every line. It wasn't fancy [soccer], it was just very effective [soccer] and we won against arguably the best team in the league with probably the strongest team that they could play. The only player that was missing was Brian Ching," Angel added.

RETURN TO FORM

Another key to the turnaround for the Red Bulls (8-6-7) is the return to fitness and form of star striker Angel. The Colombian was hobbled early in the season with back and hamstring issues that resulted from a nerve problem. But he's finally healthy and thriving and, not coincidentally, so is the team.

After scoring 19 goals in his first season in MLS last year, Angel, 33, had just two in the first half of this season. But since July 10, he has six goals in six games, leading the team to a 3-1-2 record in that span.

"It's huge [having Angel back in form]. Otherwise I'd be crossing to guys that are like five feet. Dane Richards [5-foot-7] and Mike Magee [5-foot-9], they have different strengths," New York left winger Dave van den Bergh quipped. "But Juan Pablo Angel [6-foot-1] in the air is a big, huge threat as we saw again [Sunday when he scored the opening goal vs. Houston by heading in a cross]."

UNDER THE RADAR

Rojas has made an immediate impact on the offense since his arrival, registering four assists while linking between the midfield and forward lines. But Pietravallo has made just as big an impact - if not bigger - to the defense since joining the team.

"I think defensively, we look like a team now," Osorio said. "We probably overlooked the job that Juan Pietravallo has done in the last three games as an anchorman in front of the back four, but his contribution in my opinion is huge. Now we look like a very well-balanced team. We can attack, we have some threat on the flanks, Juan [Pablo Angel] is always a threat but we [are doing a better job] defensively."

Since Pietravallo stepped into the starting lineup on July 27, the Red Bulls have given up just 0.5 goals-per-game. Prior to that, the team gave up over a goal-per-game more.

"I think he didn't come here to score goals," Angel said. "I think he came in here to do what's he's doing now. He's a solid player, he's one of those hard, tough midfielders and he's showing that week in and week out. He's one of those guys who the crowd probably doesn't want to watch because he doesn't appear much in the game but when we need him, he's always there. I think that he's showed that the more he plays, the fitter he gets and the more important he becomes. We knew from day one that all four players [Rojas, Pietravallo, Jimenez, Cichero] were going to be big players for us and I think that's been the case in the last three games."

DEPTH TO BOOT

Now, when the full lineup is available, the Red Bulls feel they can stack up against any lineup in the league.

"I believe with the effort that we showed [Sunday] and with the team spirit and the way we can play [soccer] now, we can compete against Houston and every other team in the league," Osorio said.

But even more important than that, when missing key players - as they were on Sunday - the team is confident that its depth can take over.

"I think that's the most pleasing thing [about Sunday]," Osorio said. "As you just mentioned, [we had] three very important players missing and the guys who got the chance took it with both hands and made the best out of it and contributed greatly to a great win. That's what this whole game is about - it's competition, it's waiting for your chance and putting in the contribution when it's required, when you get the opportunity, and that's what the guys did."

With the absences, Osorio switched off from his normal 3-5-2 formation to a more traditional 4-4-2, concentrating his attack from the wings with Richards and Van den Bergh instead of the middle of the field. The strategy obviously worked, with Richards getting a goal, Van den Bergh getting an assist, and Angel and fellow striker Mike Magee getting goals.

"It's just right that we have more competition for places and I have more options and hopefully I can decide what is best for the club," Osorio said.

"That is huge beating Houston," Magee said. "I don't believe we have a very good track record [against them]. Especially missing three guys we've been counting on lately and have been doing a lot of work for us. For the first time this year I think we can say we actually have depth. We could miss a couple guys and we're still strong and can compete with a team like Houston.

"I really think our depth has played a pretty big role. If we can take this confidence - which I think we will - into D.C. and then Chicago [in the Red Bulls next two league fixtures], I think we will be able to get some good results even away from home now."

WHAT LIES AHEAD

The Red Bulls face a key MLS fixture on Saturday, traveling to D.C. United, a team they are currently tied with in the Eastern table. After beating them 4-1 on Aug. 10 at Giants Stadium, New York knows it will get a better effort in D.C.

"[We expect] the same things we always expect in games against D.C.," Angel said. "They are always tough, they are a good side going forward. We showed [on Aug. 10] that we can beat them as well. Now we got the momentum going and it's going to be a different kind of game.

"It's going to be another big test for us. I think from now until the end of the season, every game is going to be hard because everything is pretty tight [in the standings]. But I think that we have confidence and we want to keep the momentum going."

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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?

Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action.  Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”.  By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.

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